Date: 2015-10-13
Time: 00:00:00
Sent by:
Category: General Message
Subject: Predicting the Election

How good are political scientists at predicting election outcomes? The Local Parliament Project is trying to answer this question. We’ve set up a website — www.localparliament.ca/predict — where participants are presented with 25-30 randomly selected constituencies. Each also includes some randomly selected and factual information. Participants can make a guess for each constituency presented, or they can pass. Two points are awarded for correct forecasts and 1 point is taken away for incorrect forecasts. This can be done anonymously, but if you would like fame and fortune, you can let us know and we will share your name if you are on the top ten predictors. You can try the site here: www.localparliament.ca/predict
(This study has been approved by the Research Ethics Board at the University of Toronto (Protocol #31955))


The Canadian Political Science Association (CPSA) does not and cannot guarantee the accuracy of these messages. Opinions and findings that may be expressed in the messages are not necessarily those of the CPSA or its Directors, Officers and employees. Anyone using the information does so at their own risk and shall be deemed to indemnify the CPSA from any and all injury or damage arising from such use. Moreover, the CPSA does not sponsor, review or monitor the contents of sites accessible via hyperlinks. Messages are posted in the language received.